The Citadel
W-L: (12-14) PR = 94.9411Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 3- 7 214 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4- 3 215 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4- 5 220 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 4- 4 221 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 10- 6 228 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 2- 6 228 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 1- 2 301 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 0- 2 304 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 7- 5 306 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 5-14 307 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 7-12 308 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 5-13 310 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 8- 3 317 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 5 318 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3- 6 331 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2- 3 422 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 10- 3 428 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 0 512 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 3- 5 520 A Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 13- 7 520 H VMI SO ( 1- 1, 92.4) 21-11 522 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 14- 4 523 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 3- 1 530 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3- 8 530 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 9- 8 530 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3- 8 530 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 9- 8 531 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 5-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Liberty 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.47
214 H Liberty 4- 3 1 -1 1.53
215 H Liberty 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.47
220 A Elon 4- 4 0 2 - -2.36
221 H Marshall 10- 6 4 2 1.85
228 A Florida State 2- 6 -4 -3 -1.28
228 A Florida State 1- 2 -1 -3 1.72
301 A Florida State 0- 2 -2 -3 0.72
304 A Florida Gulf Coast 7- 5 2 0 1.80
306 H Clemson 5-14 -9 0 --- -8.97
307 A Kentucky 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.35
308 A Kentucky 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.35
310 H South Carolina 8- 3 5 1 + 3.93
317 H Boston College 5- 5 0 0 0.24
318 A Louisiana 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.19
331 H Coastal Carolina 2- 3 -1 0 -1.14
422 A Georgia Southern 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.64
428 A South Carolina 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.29
512 A Coastal Carolina 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.78
520 A Wofford 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.22
520 H VMI 21-11 10 3 +++ 6.79
522 A Mercer 14- 4 10 -1 +++ 11.08
523 A Samford 3- 1 2 0 + 2.48
530 A Oklahoma 3- 8 -5 -3 - -2.21
530 H UIC 9- 8 1 3 -1.99
530 A Oklahoma 3- 8 -5 -3 - -2.21
530 H UIC 9- 8 1 3 -1.99
531 H Oklahoma 5-15 -10 -1 --- -8.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Clemson 5-14 -9 0 --- -8.97 308 A Kentucky 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.35 531 H Oklahoma 5-15 -10 -1 --- -8.56 213 H Liberty 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.47 220 A Elon 4- 4 0 2 - -2.36 307 A Kentucky 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.35 318 A Louisiana 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.19 530 A Oklahoma 3- 8 -5 -3 - -2.21 530 A Oklahoma 3- 8 -5 -3 - -2.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 A Wofford 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.22 520 H VMI 21-11 10 3 +++ 6.79 522 A Mercer 14- 4 10 -1 +++ 11.08 422 A Georgia Southern 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.64 428 A South Carolina 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.29 310 H South Carolina 8- 3 5 1 + 3.93 523 A Samford 3- 1 2 0 + 2.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 3- 7 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 1.03 -2.29
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 1.03 28.92
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 4- 5 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 1.03 -2.29
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 4- 4 -8.00 10.43 0.68 1.03 0.00
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 10- 6 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 1.03 23.37
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 2- 6 -2.92 15.51 0.68 1.03 -1.16
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 1- 2 -2.92 15.51 0.68 1.03 -1.16
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 0- 2 -2.92 15.51 0.68 1.03 -1.16
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 7- 5 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.03 27.41
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 5-14 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 1.03 -2.55
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 7-12 -3.98 14.44 0.68 1.03 -1.71
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 5-13 -3.98 14.44 0.68 1.03 -1.71
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 8- 3 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 1.03 25.62
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 5 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 1.03 0.00
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3- 6 -4.82 13.61 0.68 1.03 -2.14
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2- 3 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 1.03 -2.63
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 10- 3 -7.99 10.43 0.68 1.03 22.95
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 4- 0 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.03 28.41
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 3- 5 -4.42 14.01 0.68 1.03 -1.93
3 A Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 13- 7 -5.41 13.01 0.68 1.03 28.28
3 H VMI ( 1- 1, 92.4) 21-11 -7.49 10.93 -0.68 1.03 21.19
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 14- 4 -4.55 13.87 0.68 1.03 30.05
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.15 13.27 0.68 1.03 28.81
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.84 15.59 0.68 1.03 -1.12
3 H UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 9- 8 -7.27 11.16 -0.68 1.03 21.65
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.84 15.59 0.68 1.03 -1.12
3 H UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 9- 8 -7.27 11.16 -0.68 1.03 21.65
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 5-15 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 1.03 -1.82
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283.56
|
winning pts = 308.3181 losing points = -24.7622
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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